Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001944 0.002079 0.002220 0.002376 0.002547 0.002726 0.002931
2024-12-22 0.001738 0.001926 0.002129 0.002367 0.002636 0.002935 0.003290
2024-12-29 0.001581 0.001799 0.002044 0.002339 0.002687 0.003086 0.003581
2025-01-05 0.001465 0.001704 0.001979 0.002321 0.002736 0.003228 0.003859
2025-01-12 0.001356 0.001606 0.001901 0.002275 0.002742 0.003310 0.004062
2025-01-19 0.001277 0.001538 0.001850 0.002256 0.002774 0.003420 0.004299
2025-01-26 0.001175 0.001434 0.001749 0.002166 0.002708 0.003399 0.004361
2025-02-02 0.001152 0.001426 0.001766 0.002224 0.002833 0.003628 0.004762
2025-02-09 0.001123 0.001409 0.001769 0.002262 0.002932 0.003823 0.005128
2025-02-16 0.001121 0.001425 0.001815 0.002358 0.003111 0.004137 0.005676
2025-02-23 0.001081 0.001390 0.001790 0.002357 0.003156 0.004265 0.005964
2025-03-02 0.001023 0.001327 0.001726 0.002298 0.003116 0.004268 0.006068
2025-03-09 0.000975 0.001279 0.001684 0.002275 0.003134 0.004370 0.006347
2025-03-16 0.000937 0.001244 0.001659 0.002273 0.003184 0.004523 0.006718
2025-03-23 0.000895 0.001201 0.001620 0.002250 0.003199 0.004624 0.007012
2025-03-30 0.000859 0.001164 0.001587 0.002233 0.003224 0.004738 0.007337
2025-04-06 0.000817 0.001118 0.001539 0.002190 0.003204 0.004781 0.007542
2025-04-13 0.000786 0.001084 0.001508 0.002172 0.003221 0.004881 0.007852
2025-04-20 0.000738 0.001025 0.001435 0.002085 0.003125 0.004793 0.007828
2025-04-27 0.000731 0.001026 0.001454 0.002141 0.003260 0.005092 0.008509
2025-05-04 0.000720 0.001020 0.001461 0.002178 0.003364 0.005345 0.009128
2025-05-11 0.000724 0.001036 0.001501 0.002270 0.003565 0.005777 0.010119
2025-05-18 0.000704 0.001016 0.001485 0.002268 0.003609 0.005935 0.010597